Friday, 13 September 2013

2014 NBA Award Predictions


Rookie of the Year

1. Trey Burke
UPDATE: Trey has an injury and is out indefinitely
Burke will be the starting Point Guard for a rebuilding Jazz team. They really don’t have any other possible candidates for this position which will mean Trey will have a lot of time to show how good he is. At NCAA level he won 5 national player of the year awards, led the Big 10 in APG, minutes played and came second in PPG. Four out of the last 5 ROY winners were in a similar situation: Point guard on a rebuilding team (Lillard, Irving, Evans, Rose.)

2. Kelly Olynyk/ Michael Carter Williams
Olynyk had the best summer league out of all the rookies. He averaged 18 PPG on 57.8% shooting 7.8 RPG and 2.4 APG. He is playing for Boston so he will get ample playing time, he has a great skill set including a large range for a big man. Could possibly be a poor man’s Dirk Nowitzki. Finished on top of the Rookie Ladder post Summer League.

Michael Carter Williams looks like a beast almost got a quadruple double in his first game!
3. Victor Oladipo
Oladipo is an incredible athlete and NBA-ready. He will see a lot of playing time in Orlando which will help. He is a lock down defender and ranks second in steals per 40 minutes. Orlando will love him because of his high intensity on defense and has been likened to Tony Allen. However his offense needs work he shot only 24% from 3-point range in his first two seasons for Indiana. He averaged 19 PPG 5.0 APG and 4.3 RPG for Indiana and is the favorite to win the award by most analysts.
4. CJ McCollum
Portland have drafted another gun in McCollum. He has a lethal jump shot and can score from anywhere, hitting on 52% from three last season. He is pretty good on the boards too and averaged 2.1 steals a game. May be affected by playing time if Portland decide to make him a backup to Lillard. Averaged 21 PPG in summer league.
5. Cody Zeller
He averaged 9.3 RPG and 16.3 PPG during summer league and sits second on the Rookie Ladder. He is NBA-ready and offensively versatile and has a habit of getting to the line. Will he play backup to Jefferson or start alongside him? This will determine whether he has a real chance at ROY.


Coach of the Year

1. Mike Brown (Cleveland Cavaliers)
This may seem a surprising pick however the Cavaliers have a real chance to make 6th seed in the East. To do that they would need around 45-48 wins, which would be more than a 20 game, increase over last season. If this happens Mike Brown has a great chance at COY, especially if the Cavs can challenger the top tier teams.

2. Frank Vogel (Indiana Pacers)
The Pacers only had 49 wins last season and were the 23rd best offensive team. Now with Granger returning, Cj Watson, Scola and Copeland being added the Pacers should aim to drastically increase their offensive production while enhancing their defense as well (They were 2nd last year in fewest points allowed per game). They have a 60+ win roster which would make Vogel a candidate for COY.
3. Rick Adelman (Minnesota Timberwolves)
The Minnesota Timberwolves are primed to make a run for the playoffs this season. They need their core of Love, Rubio and Pekovic to stay healthy for once. Early last season it looked like they could be a real hard team to beat until Love was injured and they fell apart. The signing of Kevin Martin adds great scoring off the bench but the loss of Kirilenko will affect them. Minnesota only ended up with 31 wins last season, don’t be surprised if they achieve 50 this season. If they end up in the top 6 seeds Rick Adelman could be a lock for COY.
4. Doc Rivers (Los Angeles Clippers)
A lot of early love for Rivers to win the Coach of the Year but I’m not sold. The Clippers would have to finish top 2 in the West and have about 60 wins to be considered a dramatically changed team. Yes Doc does add a championship caliber to a team that has struggled to pass the first round of the playoffs but I still don’t know if he can produce the results expected by everyone.
5. Mike D’antoni (Los Angeles Lakers)
I haven’t seen any Lakers personnel in any predictions whatsoever. Which is strange because when the expectations are low the upside is high. Mike D’antoni can coach yet because of last season’s failure with the Lakers he has been made out to seem like some sort of fool. He has not had a preseason with the Lakers yet, he arrived mid-season and was taking the place of what was believed to be Phil Jackson’s job. This season the Lakers have been doomed to fail dramatically according to ESPN and finish as low as 12th with less than 40 wins. The Lakers chemistry will increase and so will their offense. Mike D’antoni is about to prove once again that is a coaching genius. Don’t be surprised if he wins Coach Of the Year
Brian Shaw coached under PJ while at the Lakers

Special Mentions: Brian Shaw (Denver Nuggets)/Mark Jackson (Golden State Warriors)
Brian Shaw is a great coach and will do wonders for the Nuggets however I don’t think he can win this award because the Nuggets improved dramatically last season and will probably struggle without Igoudala and Gallinari for half a season.
Mark Jackson could justifiably win it. But to do so would require a top 2 finish in the West and a real possibility of winning the championship. It is definitely possible but the expectations are high.

Most Improved Player

Jeff Green had a breakout season last year... Could he win MIP this season?
1. Eric Bledsoe
Is moving from being a backup at the Clippers to being the star at Phoenix. Averaged 8.5 PPG and 3.1 APG in 20 minutes per game last season. We are about to see a new star emerge.
1.5:  Greg Monroe
Greg Monroe is on the verge of a breakout year. He averaged 16 PPG and 9.6 RPG last season and now with Detroit’s growing expectations he will need to continue at this production and maybe increase it. 
Andre Drummond
He is killing it in preseason and like his teammate Monroe is set for a breakout year after averaging 7.9 PPG and 7.6 RPG last season as a rookie. 
Anthony Davis
Not entirely sure if he is in real contention but he is killing it in the preseason with 21, 26 and 29 points in 3 of his games. Is the in form player of the preseason.
2. Enes Kanter
Utah offloaded Millsap and Jefferson, which will allow Kanter and Favors to be the starters and have drastically more playing time. Kanter averaged 7.2 PPG and 4.3 RPG in only 15 minutes per game. He will have a much more important role next season.
3. Tobias Harris
An extremely promising athletic SF for the Orlando Magic, Harris averaged 4.9 PPG and 2.0 RPG in Milwaukee before the trade to Orlando where he averaged 17.3 PPG and 8.5 RPG. Expect more of the same this season as he will be a big part of Orlando’s growth.
4. Jonas Valanciunas
Averaged 8.9 PPG and 6.0 APG in 23 minutes per game last season, his first in the NBA. He was named summer league MVP averaging 18.8 and 10. Now with the departure of Bargnani he will see more playing time and a larger role.

5. Jimmy Butler/Kahwi Leonard
Both had stellar post seasons mostly on the defensive side. Butler played the whole season and averaged 8.6 PPG (13 PPG in the postseason) and 4 RPG he will be the starting SG for the Bulls again this season. Kahwi is the future of the Spurs and showed it against Miami.
6. Jeff Green
Last year he averaged 12.8 PPG 3.9 RPG in only 27.8 Minutes per game. He was Pierce’s backup for most of the season and now with him gone, Green will be a starter. His best performances last year came with Avery Bradley playing the Point, so his looks and production should increase even more with Rajon Rondo returning.


Defensive Player of the Year

1. Roy Hibbert
Hibbert was incredible against the Heat in the ECF and throughout the whole playoffs. Defensively he altered so many shots around the basket and was a big reason why the Pacers had a chance to take the series. If he plays like this in the regular season instead of waiting for the postseason to make his mark he will have a good chance at winning the award. When asked why he wasn’t near the top of voting last year he said: “You know what, because y’all m----f---‘s don’t watch us play throughout the year to tell you the truth”
2. Dwight Howard
Already a three time defensive winner and could make it four now he is with Houston. Was overlooked last season because of the Lakers overall poor defense however individually he did pretty well averaging 2.4 BPG and 12.4 RPG (and altering many more shots).
3. Joakim Noah
Noah is one of the most intense big men and throws his body at loose balls on either end. He averaged 2.1 BPG and 11.1 RPG last season and is an outside chance to win the award.
4. Serge Ibaka
Serge is one of the most athletic big men and probably the best shot blocker in the league. He averaged 3.0 BPG this season and 3.7 BPG the year before leading the league both times. However he only averaged 7.7 RPG which he will want to increase this season.




Sixth Man of the Year

1. Jarrett Jack
He finished 3rd last year in this award when playing for Golden State. Now he is at Cleveland backing up Kyrie and Dion. He is the veteran out of these three and will be expected to bring some experience and influence over the young core of the Cavaliers. He averaged 12.9 PPG 3.1 RPG and 5.6 APG on 45% shooting last season and should small improvements as he may get a little extra time on court.

2. Harrison Barnes
With Iguodala coming to the Warriors, Barnes likely will move to the bench. While he showed a really good performance in the playoffs (16.1 PPG and 6.4 RPG) he was below average in the regular season only averaging 9.2 PPG and 4.1 RPG. What helps his case though is that he is a good lockdown defender as well, which could give him an advantage over the other candidates.

3. Tyreke Evans
He averaged 15.2 PPG 4.4 RPG and 3.5 APG last season as a starter for the Kings. He has come out and said he would be happy to come off the bench for the Pelicans and if that is true he could easily win the award. He is extremely athletic and used to carrying a team’s offense. He will have a very important role for the Pelicans and is essential to their success.
4. JR Smith
The reigning sixth man of the year has to get some mention. He had a great regular season averaging 18.1 PPG and 5.3 RPG however he was terrible in the playoffs. Furthermore he is out for four months with a lateral meniscus tear, he should be back for the start of the season but he may have restricted minutes early and struggle to find his rhythm.
5. Jamal Crawford
Averaged 16.5 PPG last season but doesn’t do much else apart from play offense. Now with the additions of Reddick and Dudley his minutes will probably be reduced and so will his role. He came second last year but I don’t think he has a great chance at it this season.


Most Valuable Player

1. Kevin Durant
The Thunder have no bench anymore so it’s starters will have to take on a lot more responsibility. Namely Kevin Durant, it is time to step up. He turns 25 this season still only entering his prime, which is scary. He averaged 28.1 PPG 7.6 RPG and 4.1 APG last season; this will increase with the loss of Kevin Martin. If OKC have any chance of competing Durant and Westbrook will have to have big years. A prime chance for MVP

2. Kobe Bryant
Kobe isn’t even in ESPN’s top 10 for MVP. Incredible. In fact Kobe isn’t on anyone’s MVP list. However the Lakers will surprise this year, most people have written them off for dead. For them to surprise Kobe needs to have an MVP like year. This is largely dependent on whether the Lakers are going to compete this year or tank for a good draft pick so Kobe could get his 6th next year. Assuming that they try to win this year Kobe will need to do a lot of the work. If he weren’t coming off an injury I’d have him in number one spot to win the MVP and like Chris Palmer number 1 to lead the league in scoring.
Credit: Source24Designs

3. Lebron James
Lebron may be the best player in the world but not necessarily the most important for his team. You take him off the Heat they still make playoffs, you take Kobe off the Lakers they will be lucky to surpass 20 wins, take Durant off OKC they miss playoffs. That is what the most valuable player means, which is why some people are confused to as why he won it last year.  He has already won 4 MVPs and he will most likely win another one. Remember the media are the ones who decide the MVP.

4. Chris Paul
Chris Paul was incredible last year for the Clippers, probably deserving of the MVP award if we go by the strict interpretation. When he was out injured the Clippers backtracked immensely and fell into a slump losing a lot of games during this period. He is the focal point of their offense and without him they are lost. However with a coaching change, Doc Rivers may not rely on him as heavily as Vinny Del Negro did. He will have to make them less dependent on Paul for the Clippers to be championship material.
Lebron with his 4 MVP Awards


Rounding out the Top 10
5. Carmelo Anthony
6. Derrick Rose
7. Paul George
8. Stephen Curry
9. Russell Westbrook
10. Kevin Love/ James Harden/ Kyrie Irving

Take note this is ESPN's MVP prediction:
1. LeBron James
2. Kevin Durant
3. Chris Paul
4. Derrick Rose
5. James Harden
6. Dwight Howard
7. Carmelo Anthony
8. Stephen Curry
9. Paul George
10. Tony Parker

Comment your predictions!

Like us on FB:
https://www.facebook.com/AirBallNbaNewsarticles


No comments:

Post a Comment